POLAND: Presidential elections at the background
of collapsing Fourth Republic
Russophobia — grounding at the exclusive relationship with the
Baltic states, Yushchenko’s Ukraine and Saakashvili’s Georgia — was the
essence of Lech Kaczyński’s Eastern policy. If Jarosław
is to become Polish President, the country would have
to go through the same ole discords between the government and the
President. Russia in this case would have to keep ignoring the person
of Polish President, while resetting the relationship with Polish
government.
Lech Kaczyński became the President of Poland in 2005, having won
the current Prime Minister Donald Tusk, and immediately proclaimed the creation
of the Fourth Republic. Collapse of this idea has led to the
defeat of his twin-brother Jarosław at the following parliamentary
elections. (You may find the
more detailed information about it here).
Being the Minister of Justice (and the Polish Attorney General)
at the Jerzy Buzek — current President of the European
Parliament — government, he unfolded the fierce anti-corruption
campaign in the country. Later he continued to follow this
policy, having the absolute support of his twin-brother.
In order to acquaint Russian reader with the idea of the Fourth
Republic we should explain what this new republic
is to represent. The First Republic in history of Poland
appeared in 1454, though it wasn’t a republic
in a contemporary meaning of this word. It was a state
established at the grounds of the so-called noble men — or,
as the Poles call it — szlachta democracy. This republic existed
until 1795 when the redivision of Poland started — this put
an end to Poland as an independent state. The Second
Republic appeared in 1918 as a result of the First World
War and existed until the beginning of the Second World War. This period
of the Polish history is tightly intertwined with the name
of Marshal Józef Piłsudski — quite contradictive person, who,
nevertheless, was proclaimed to be the national hero of Poland.
Next state formation, located at the territory of modern Poland was
the People’s Republic of Poland that existed since 1945 till 1989.
Finally, the Third Republic of Polish history appeared
in 1989 as a symbol of rupture with the socialistic
political system of people’s democracy and the return to the roots
of the Second Republic. This name is stipulated in the Polish
constitution.
Kaczyński brothers, however, introduced new non-constitutional name of the
Polish political system — the Fourth Republic. Having accused the Third
Republic politicians of their dependence from the special services
of socialistic Poland and the USSR — and also of the all-round
corruption in the country — PiS
Party1 founded by the twins has
proclaimed the Fourth Republic. It was to bring the decisive
de-communization and severe lustration to life, and also to improve
the role of Poland in Europe and the whole world. According
to the brothers’ concept, path to these good purposes went through
the relentless fight against corruption, which actually degenerated into the
electoral TV show — many high-ranking officials, including Minister
of Interior and Administration and the Deputy Prime Minister fell victims
to it. Polish television actually carried out live broadcasting
of how the Minister of Interior was handcuffed; unfortunately later
he and his numerous colleagues were discharged. It became clear that
PiS is fighting for the votes of the electorate, rather than against
corruption itself. Polish voters met the idea of the Fourth Republic with
a rebuff and on the 21st of October, 2007 PiS has lost the
preterm parliamentary elections.
PiS leader and today’s presidential candidate also didn’t evoke much enthusiasm
among the Poles. As the "Sueddeutsche Zeitung" has venomously noted,
"Small, stout and constantly grumbling, Jarosław Kaczyński hardly looks like
a national tribune". Polish voters have finally understood that the fight
against corruption was a mere pre-election trick of the government,
the criminal lawsuits were framed-up exclusively for the political matters and
that none was safe in a situation like that. Public opinion polls
have indicated the 10-year-long decline of the PiS popularity. Since that
moment the elections returns were predetermined. Polish media dubbed that
lame Kaczyński’s step to be the "self-inflicted
wound".
In the ideological sense, current Polish presidential elections repeat the
Seim elections of 2007. Again it’s all about the clash of PiS and the
Civic Platform and again it is the common voters who are
to choose between the anti-utopia of the Fourth Republic and the
right-wing liberal rhetoric of Tusk and Komorowski. Yet again
it is Kaczyński to lead the PiS party — though, it’s
Jarosław instead of Lech this time. But mind that the twin-brother
is not just the photographic copy of his late brother, he also
confesses the same sort of intolerance and he is likely
to disunite the country just the same way Lech did — and in case
of becoming a President he would also be a President
not for all of the Poles.
Quite suddenly it was Professor Władysław Bartoszewski — foreign
policy aide of Donald Tusk — who stood up against Jarosław
Kaczyński. This man is well known both in Poland and the rest
of the world. He is 85 years old now, he was
an Auschwitz concentration camp prisoner and fought at the side
of Polish resistance movement; in 1952 in the socialistic Poland
he was sentenced to 8 years of imprisonment for the
espionage but in 1955 he was released and rehabilitated. Bartoszewski
was decorated with the superior awards of Poland and also with the
"Righteous among the nations" medal and diploma for rescuing the Jews during
the Hitler’s occupation of Poland issued by the Yad Vashem Institute
of Israel. He was the Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs twice
and, without doubt, he "speaks" the diplomatic language quite well.
Nevertheless, Prime Minister aide considered it appropriate to say
that Jarosław Kaczyński can hardly make a decent President, as long
as he was incapable even of uniting his own family (PiS chair
is single), let alone the whole country, while the only practical
experience he has is the breeding of fur animals (implying
to the favorite Kaczyński’s cat). Bartoszewski considers the Jarosław’s
consent to bury his brother at Wawel — burial vault of the
Polish kings — to be a mistake. "If I’m awarded with
the order of the Pope Gregory that doesn’t mean that I am
to be buried in Vatican, does it?" — ironically
remarked Prime Minister’s aide.
Despite the clearly pro-American vector of the foreign policy
of Kaczyński brothers, Americans themselves were not exactly keen about
them. After PiS defeat at the Parliamentary elections in 2007, New
York Times wrote the following: "They (Kaczyński brothers — author’s note)
have spoken in the name of national wounds and sentiments, caused
by the very tragic history of Poland in the 20th century, but
the problem was that they often behaved themselves as though the very
history was an exclusive property of their party...They’ve nourished
the climate of accusations and suspicions that separated Poland from its
natural European partners and alienated the younger generation, aimed
at the better future and the world surrounding them".
Today’s Presidential elections in Poland are, in fact, the second
round of the parliamentary elections of 2007, given the new political
background that emerged after the airplane catastrophe near Smolensk.
Mythologized image of the perished Polish President is to serve
as the battering ram that is to crush the gates
of Presidential Palace for Jarosław Kaczyński. Warsaw analysts name the
10th of April, 2010 to be the Polish 9\11, and there’s not
a grain of exaggeration in that. Lech Kaczyński who was destined
to fail at the presidential elections may, however, gain the
posthumous victory, having passed the banner of presidency to his
twin-brother. Late President often annoyed Poles with his unintelligible manner
of speech and the clumsy behavior at the European political circles.
Today, however, PiS, which lost its best members at the airplane accident
near Smolensk, may become — no matter how paradoxical will
it sound — the symbolical beneficiary of this tragedy.
Kościół2 attitude to the presidential
candidates is the important element of the electioneering. For the
Catholic Poland this is a circumstance of no small
significance. "Church refers the Civic Platform, which Bronisław Komorowski
belongs to, to the liberals and for the Polish clergy liberalism
is something devilish" — says
ksiądz3 Andrzej Luter, famous theologian and
publicist. This is probably the only explanation why Komorowski, former
tutor of the theological seminary, member of Catholic Community,
father of a large family and a relative to the former
Polish primate doesn’t enjoy the support of the priesthood. For some
high-ranking Polish priests even Kaczyński is not reliable enough.
Archbishop Józef Michalik, Polish Episcopacy Conference chair — who become
notorious in the 90s for his slogan "Let the Catholics vote for Catholics
and the Jews would vote for Jews" — has chosen quite exotic person
of Marek Jurek as an object of his pastor’s support (Polish
polls credit him with less than 1% of the votes). Few years ago Jurek
became one of the most quoted Polish politicians, having said that the
children have to be flogged. At that, former functionary
of ZChN4 reasoned that statement with his
own example: "My father used to flog me and that benefitted
me a lot".
However, all these peculiarities of the Polish national politics
interest us so far as they may help us to define the
character of post-election relationship between Poland and the Russian
Federation. It’s quite obviously, that from this standpoint, Bronisław
Komorowski — speaking diplomatically — is somewhat more
preferable than Jarosław Kaczyński. As he repeatedly mentioned,
Jarosław is definitely to keep following the policy of his
brother. His brother, in his turn, was the successor of Marshal
Piłsudski. Despite the Polish NATO and EU membership, the main vector
of his foreign policy was always aimed at the East. Mind, that
it were the ideas of "inter-marine dominion" and "Prometheus
mission", inherited from Piłsudski, that prevailed in this direction.
"Inter-marine dominion" is the realization of the ancient Polish
dream of creating the Great Poland "stretching from one sea
to another", i. e. from the Baltic to the Black Sea. Regarding
"Prometheus mission", we may just say that Piłsudski-style Kaczyński
brothers’ obsession to enlighten the Eastern neighbors assumed quite
a morbid character. Russophobia — grounding at the exclusive
relationship with the Baltic states, Yushchenko’s Ukraine and Saakashvili’s
Georgia — was the essence of Lech Kaczyński’s Eastern policy.
If Jarosław is to become Polish President, the country would
have to go through the same ole discords between the government and
the President. Russia in this case would have to keep ignoring the
person of Polish President, while resetting the relationship with Polish
government.
Actually Kaczyński’s chances are quite scarce. Recent public opinion polls
indicate that 50% of the population support Komorowski and just 38%
support Kaczyński. However, during the last weeks the gap was closing and the
second round is still quite possible. Fortunately, according to the
Polish constitution, it is the Prime Minister who
is to shape foreign policy of the country, while President just
takes a certain participation in its fullfilment — the fact that
ambitious Lech Kaczyński quite often forgot about. Thus, Polish presidential
elections are of no fateful significance for both Poles and the
Russo-Polish relationship. But still, it’s much more pleasant to deal with
the responsible and adequate President of Poland like Komorowski rather
than with yet another obsessive Piłsudski-minded leader, perceiving himself
to be the Prometheus, bringing the light into the "darkness
of eastern spaces".
By Gregory Tinsky
1 Prawo
i Sprawiedliwość (Law and Justice).
2 Polish Catholic priesthood.
3 Catholic priest in Poland.
4 Zjednoczenie Chrześcijańsko-Narodowe
(Christian National Union).
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